Why is it impossible to predict the long-term weather?

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Why is it impossible to correctly predict the long-term weather? The atmosphere covering the planet consists of about 5,600 trillion of its lengths. This atmosphere can strike the ground with lightning strikes or heavy rain, heat waves and hurricanes, not to mention that it is difficult for us to predict the weather.

We find a lot of yellow newspapers recording terrible weather headlines.

For example, you can read in the "Daily Mail" newspaper that one of the days will be the hottest in October for the past seven years, when the temperature reaches 25 degrees Celsius, although we are expected to see a decrease. Relatively in the heat and rain.

On the other hand, the newspaper "Daily Express" indicates that temperatures in the Arctic reach 3 degrees below zero, and the region will witness a relative decrease in temperature and precipitation during the three days that precede that day.

Our proficiency in calculating weather forecasts, at least with regard to heat, made great strides. Our ability to forecast temperature has improved by 0.566 ° C.

This improvement may seem trivial from your point of view, but the weather forecast affects our daily life, such as clothing, appointments, and warns the state in the event of a natural disaster.

Comments (7)

  • global-conversation.png unassuming_orange | Beit Hanoun Prep Girls A School | Occupied Palestinian Territory
    15 May 2020

    In my opinion:
    It is impossible to do this because of the limited capabilities that can help us predict the weather in the long term, In addition to the few people who are interested in this matter because they are engaged in other matters that they think are more important (weather forecasting in the long term), when they ignore the matter, it will undoubtedly become impossible to achieve, It may also be due to unexpected climate changes that will occur in the future.
    This is just what I expect and what I think about it.

    Reply to this comment
  • global-conversation.png secure_meteor | Beit Hanoun Prep Girls A School | Occupied Palestinian Territory
    15 May 2020

    Thousands of years ago, a person tried to predict the weather and used the science of astrology and astronomy for this purpose. It is impossible to correctly predict the long-term weather condition, so writer Sanjana Varghese says in her report published by the American website Wired in its British version (that such expectations predict that the next season will be the worst It is absolutely false and exaggerated), despite extremes and bad weather in recent years, it is still difficult to predict and anticipate what the weather holds for us and despite the small changes in the weather all the time it can cause major impacts somewhere
    We should not believe the weather forecast patterns that will have negative repercussions in the long run.

    Reply to this comment
    1. tom Tom @ the BNC
      secure_meteor's comment 18 May 2020

      Who was this person thousands of years ago? Which forecasts are you saying we should not believe? The long-term data suggests climate change is real so it's important we do not ignore that.

      Reply to this comment
  • global-conversation.png communicative_boysenberry | Beit Hanoun Prep Girls A School | Occupied Palestinian Territory
    15 May 2020

    Q/why is it impossible to predict the long term weather ?
    Has this ever happened to you? You check the weather forecast. It predicts rain. And you end up carrying your umbrella around on a beautiful, sunny day.
    Meteorologists use computers models to predict the weather meteorologists still have trouble correctly predicting the weather over a period of a few days. Sometimes they don’t even get it right over a 24-hour period! Why does this happen?
    I read before that their ability to predict the weather is limited by three factors:
    1-the amount of available data.
    2-the time available to analyze it.
    3- the complexity of weather events.

    So they need time to analyze the data also tthere are things that can reduce the accuracy of satellite data. Examples include cloud cover and changes in the amount of water vapour in the atmosphere next to the Quick change in climate.

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  • global-conversation.png invigorated_chicken | Archdeacon Crowther Memorial Girl's School, Elelenwo | Nigeria
    16 May 2020

    The reason it's so hard to predict the weather very far in advance is because weather is incredibly complex and dynamic. Factors like today's temperature, humidity, prevailing winds, and local geography all have an influence on tomorrow's weather.

    Reply to this comment
    1. jenniferwall.jpg EXPERT: Jennifer Wall, Director @ KPMG
      invigorated_chicken's comment 18 May 2020

      This is a very good answer, invigorated_chicken - thank you for your contribution! Why do you think it is important to try to predict the weather?

      Reply to this comment
      1. global-conversation.png invigorated_chicken | Archdeacon Crowther Memorial Girl's School, Elelenwo | Nigeria
        Jennifer Wall, Director @ KPMG's comment 18 May 2020

        Weather warnings are important forecasts because they are used to protect life and property. ... Since outdoor activities are severely curtailed by heavy rain, snow and wind chill, forecasts can be used to plan activities around these events, and to plan ahead and survive them.

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